The Black Swan 黑天鹅:如何应对不可预知的未来 英文原版 [平装] 下载 mobi epub pdf 电子书 2025

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The Black Swan changed my view of how the world works.

内容简介

A black swan is an event, positive or negative, that is deemed improbable yet causes massive consequences. In this groundbreaking and prophetic book, Taleb shows in a playful way that Black Swan events explain almost everything about our world, and yet we—especially the experts—are blind to them. In this second edition, Taleb has added a new essay, On Robustness and Fragility, which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world.

作者简介

Nassim Nicholas Taleb has devoted his life to immersing himself in problems of luck, randomness, human error, probability, and the philosophy of knowledge. He managed to transform his interests into three successful careers, as a man of letters, businessman-trader-risk manager, and university professor. Although he spends most of his time as a flaneur, meditating in cafés across the planet, he is currently Distinguished Professor at New York University's Polytechnic Institute and Principal of Universa. His books Fooled by Randomness and The Black Swan have been published in 31 languages. He is widely recognized as the foremost thinker on probability and uncertainty. Taleb lives mostly in New York.

精彩书评

"Idiosyncratically brilliant."
——Niall Ferguson, Los Angeles Times
The Black Swan 黑天鹅:如何应对不可预知的未来 英文原版 [平装] 下载 mobi epub pdf txt 电子书 格式

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好书宝宝喜欢很好宝宝喜欢很好宝宝喜欢很好宝宝喜欢

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书应该是受到野蛮装卸，本的一角都已经卷起。

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书写的感觉一般，我翻翻看看的，内容很啰嗦，其实只要一篇论文就可以说清楚了，不知道老外怎么喜欢写这么多话。3分。

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发票不小心写错，第一时间联系客服，但是没有得到任何回应，错误也没有修改

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服务好

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很不错的书，可以

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适读人群 ：企业高管、白领、政府机关的工作人员、商务精英、创业者、注重个人思维提升和学习的人群、高校师生、具有敏锐洞察力的年轻读者、善于思考的中年人士。

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这类的书都应该看看避免大规模的风险

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很好！纸张和包装都不错，物流超快！有待慢慢品读。

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