The Black Swan 黑天鹅:如何应对不可预知的未来 英文原版 [平装] 下载 mobi epub pdf 电子书 2025

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The Black Swan changed my view of how the world works.

内容简介

A black swan is an event, positive or negative, that is deemed improbable yet causes massive consequences. In this groundbreaking and prophetic book, Taleb shows in a playful way that Black Swan events explain almost everything about our world, and yet we—especially the experts—are blind to them. In this second edition, Taleb has added a new essay, On Robustness and Fragility, which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world.

作者简介

Nassim Nicholas Taleb has devoted his life to immersing himself in problems of luck, randomness, human error, probability, and the philosophy of knowledge. He managed to transform his interests into three successful careers, as a man of letters, businessman-trader-risk manager, and university professor. Although he spends most of his time as a flaneur, meditating in cafés across the planet, he is currently Distinguished Professor at New York University's Polytechnic Institute and Principal of Universa. His books Fooled by Randomness and The Black Swan have been published in 31 languages. He is widely recognized as the foremost thinker on probability and uncertainty. Taleb lives mostly in New York.

精彩书评

"Idiosyncratically brilliant."
——Niall Ferguson, Los Angeles Times
The Black Swan 黑天鹅:如何应对不可预知的未来 英文原版 [平装] 下载 mobi epub pdf txt 电子书 格式

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好书，先屯起来慢慢看：）

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好书，值得一读，深刻反思

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绝对好书，绝对好书，绝对好书。

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新观点，新思维，新方法，新工具

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看看这方面的书籍对自己构造理想人生还是很有帮助的，虽然我们不一定都做的到。

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哦。。。老外写得略微有点啰嗦。

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很不错的书，可以

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书籍比较实用，贴合新环境变化。

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适读人群 ：企业高管、白领、政府机关的工作人员、商务精英、创业者、注重个人思维提升和学习的人群、高校师生、具有敏锐洞察力的年轻读者、善于思考的中年人士。

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