The Black Swan 黑天鵝:如何應對不可預知的未來 英文原版 [平裝] 下載 mobi epub pdf 電子書 2025

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The Black Swan changed my view of how the world works.

內容簡介

A black swan is an event, positive or negative, that is deemed improbable yet causes massive consequences. In this groundbreaking and prophetic book, Taleb shows in a playful way that Black Swan events explain almost everything about our world, and yet we—especially the experts—are blind to them. In this second edition, Taleb has added a new essay, On Robustness and Fragility, which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world.

作者簡介

Nassim Nicholas Taleb has devoted his life to immersing himself in problems of luck, randomness, human error, probability, and the philosophy of knowledge. He managed to transform his interests into three successful careers, as a man of letters, businessman-trader-risk manager, and university professor. Although he spends most of his time as a flaneur, meditating in cafés across the planet, he is currently Distinguished Professor at New York University's Polytechnic Institute and Principal of Universa. His books Fooled by Randomness and The Black Swan have been published in 31 languages. He is widely recognized as the foremost thinker on probability and uncertainty. Taleb lives mostly in New York.

精彩書評

"Idiosyncratically brilliant."
——Niall Ferguson, Los Angeles Times
The Black Swan 黑天鵝:如何應對不可預知的未來 英文原版 [平裝] 下載 mobi epub pdf txt 電子書 格式

評分☆☆☆☆☆

收到瞭1蠻好的

評分☆☆☆☆☆

到時候住酒店的時候和前颱說清楚住幾天，因為幫你們定的時候是到28日，你們要去熱帶風暴，所以住到27離店

評分☆☆☆☆☆

不錯，無時無刻都要有危機，所有的事都可能發生

評分☆☆☆☆☆

所謂的反脆弱，就是不是脆弱性的就一定是喜歡變革的、擁抱變革的，所有的反脆弱能夠發展起來，都是在混亂中成長。

評分☆☆☆☆☆

評分☆☆☆☆☆

很不錯的書，可以

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物流快，價格閤適，快遞小哥服務好

評分☆☆☆☆☆

這次的購物經曆讓我知道瞭店大是可以欺客的，快遞小哥選擇午休時間送貨，辛苦瞭！

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還不錯

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