Fooled by Randomness[随机致富的傻瓜] 英文原版 [精装] 下载 mobi epub pdf 电子书 2025

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内容简介

Now in a striking new hardcover edition, Fooled by Randomness is the word-of-mouth sensation that will change the way you think about business and the world. Nassim Nicholas Taleb–veteran trader, renowned risk expert, polymathic scholar, erudite raconteur, and New York Times bestselling author of The Black Swan–has written a modern classic that turns on its head what we believe about luck and skill.

This book is about luck–or more precisely, about how we perceive and deal with luck in life and business. Set against the backdrop of the most conspicuous forum in which luck is mistaken for skill–the world of trading–Fooled by Randomness provides captivating insight into one of the least understood factors in all our lives. Writing in an entertaining narrative style, the author tackles major intellectual issues related to the underestimation of the influence of happenstance on our lives.

The book is populated with an array of characters, some of whom have grasped, in their own way, the significance of chance: the baseball legend Yogi Berra; the philosopher of knowledge Karl Popper; the ancient world’s wisest man, Solon; the modern financier George Soros; and the Greek voyager Odysseus. We also meet the fictional Nero, who seems to understand the role of randomness in his professional life but falls victim to his own superstitious foolishness.

However, the most recognizable character of all remains unnamed–the lucky fool who happens to be in the right place at the right time–he embodies the “survival of the least fit.” Such individuals attract devoted followers who believe in their guru’s insights and methods. But no one can replicate what is obtained by chance.

Are we capable of distinguishing the fortunate charlatan from the genuine visionary? Must we always try to uncover nonexistent messages in random events? It may be impossible to guard ourselves against the vagaries of the goddess Fortuna, but after reading Fooled by Randomness we can be a little better prepared.

作者简介

Nassim Nicholas Taleb is the author of The Black Swan. He has devoted his life to immersing himself in problems of luck, uncertainty, probability, and knowledge. Part literary essayist, part empiricist, part researcher, part no-nonsense businessman, he spent eighteen years as a mathematical trader, and was the Dean’s Professor in the Sciences of Uncertainty at the University of Massachusetts at Amherst. Taleb lives mostly in New York.

Fooled by Randomness[随机致富的傻瓜] 英文原版 [精装] 下载 mobi epub pdf txt 电子书 格式

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质优价廉，包装严密，快递小哥也不错哦！

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历时1个月20天，终于到我手上了，算是迟来的情人节礼物，字看着舒服，行间有足够的间隔做笔记，这个月可以好好啃了。

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非常好的书

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塔勒布的造诣很深，内容确实很有见地；

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等了一个月啊，据说塔勒布的书要看原版，国内的翻译水平不行

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很好

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搞活动买的，价格优惠，慢慢读。

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拿到书的时候，我只能先默默地把书上的灰擦拭掉，褶皱的外壳也尽量能展多平就展多平。除此之外一切都很完美。书的内容是非常好的，但也提醒准备买的朋友，在购买时最好咨询一下能否包装得稍微好一点。本来是不打算评论的，但今天收到某旧书网发来的书，足足包了三层，而且是非常用心的包装的，因为买的书在市场上没有新书可买，只能选择旧书。这是我第一次在旧书网买书，刚开始是没有报太大的期望书到时能完好无缺，但当真正收到时，我还是震惊了。京东一直以物流而闻名，我也是因为这个而非常喜欢在京东购物，却在这次的购书中一对比，确实有点不是很满意。

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终于收到啦。很好。好久没读外文书了。这次必须重新读起来。

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