Fooled by Randomness[随机致富的傻瓜] 英文原版 [精装] 下载 mobi epub pdf 电子书 2025

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内容简介

Now in a striking new hardcover edition, Fooled by Randomness is the word-of-mouth sensation that will change the way you think about business and the world. Nassim Nicholas Taleb–veteran trader, renowned risk expert, polymathic scholar, erudite raconteur, and New York Times bestselling author of The Black Swan–has written a modern classic that turns on its head what we believe about luck and skill.

This book is about luck–or more precisely, about how we perceive and deal with luck in life and business. Set against the backdrop of the most conspicuous forum in which luck is mistaken for skill–the world of trading–Fooled by Randomness provides captivating insight into one of the least understood factors in all our lives. Writing in an entertaining narrative style, the author tackles major intellectual issues related to the underestimation of the influence of happenstance on our lives.

The book is populated with an array of characters, some of whom have grasped, in their own way, the significance of chance: the baseball legend Yogi Berra; the philosopher of knowledge Karl Popper; the ancient world’s wisest man, Solon; the modern financier George Soros; and the Greek voyager Odysseus. We also meet the fictional Nero, who seems to understand the role of randomness in his professional life but falls victim to his own superstitious foolishness.

However, the most recognizable character of all remains unnamed–the lucky fool who happens to be in the right place at the right time–he embodies the “survival of the least fit.” Such individuals attract devoted followers who believe in their guru’s insights and methods. But no one can replicate what is obtained by chance.

Are we capable of distinguishing the fortunate charlatan from the genuine visionary? Must we always try to uncover nonexistent messages in random events? It may be impossible to guard ourselves against the vagaries of the goddess Fortuna, but after reading Fooled by Randomness we can be a little better prepared.

作者简介

Nassim Nicholas Taleb is the author of The Black Swan. He has devoted his life to immersing himself in problems of luck, uncertainty, probability, and knowledge. Part literary essayist, part empiricist, part researcher, part no-nonsense businessman, he spent eighteen years as a mathematical trader, and was the Dean’s Professor in the Sciences of Uncertainty at the University of Massachusetts at Amherst. Taleb lives mostly in New York.

Fooled by Randomness[随机致富的傻瓜] 英文原版 [精装] 下载 mobi epub pdf txt 电子书 格式

评分☆☆☆☆☆

还在阅读中内容有点难懂，值得细细品味

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终于收到啦。很好。好久没读外文书了。这次必须重新读起来。

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好书，推荐购买，英文原版，直接阅读

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收到后拿回去看了下很不错。

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第二天就到了，送货快，书也很不错

评分☆☆☆☆☆

等了很长时间才到，货还没有开始看。

评分☆☆☆☆☆

收到后拿回去看了下很不错。

评分☆☆☆☆☆

还在阅读中内容有点难懂，值得细细品味

评分☆☆☆☆☆

东西不错、送货快、便宜实惠、朋友很喜欢

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