The Black Swan 黑天鹅:如何应对不可预知的未来 英文原版 [平装] 下载 mobi epub pdf 电子书 2025

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The Black Swan changed my view of how the world works.

内容简介

A black swan is an event, positive or negative, that is deemed improbable yet causes massive consequences. In this groundbreaking and prophetic book, Taleb shows in a playful way that Black Swan events explain almost everything about our world, and yet we—especially the experts—are blind to them. In this second edition, Taleb has added a new essay, On Robustness and Fragility, which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world.

作者简介

Nassim Nicholas Taleb has devoted his life to immersing himself in problems of luck, randomness, human error, probability, and the philosophy of knowledge. He managed to transform his interests into three successful careers, as a man of letters, businessman-trader-risk manager, and university professor. Although he spends most of his time as a flaneur, meditating in cafés across the planet, he is currently Distinguished Professor at New York University's Polytechnic Institute and Principal of Universa. His books Fooled by Randomness and The Black Swan have been published in 31 languages. He is widely recognized as the foremost thinker on probability and uncertainty. Taleb lives mostly in New York.

精彩书评

"Idiosyncratically brilliant."
——Niall Ferguson, Los Angeles Times
The Black Swan 黑天鹅:如何应对不可预知的未来 英文原版 [平装] 下载 mobi epub pdf txt 电子书 格式

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书是好书，京东拖了个把月才到

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京东活动好评京东活动好评

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在京东已经好多年，东西买的比较多，也比较杂，会员比较优惠。 此东东可以。好评。

评分☆☆☆☆☆

所谓的反脆弱，就是不是脆弱性的就一定是喜欢变革的、拥抱变革的，所有的反脆弱能够发展起来，都是在混乱中成长。

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包装很好内容不错！

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哈哈哈哈红红火火恍恍惚惚

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没有收到

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原版书的印刷质量也挺差的 封面题目有一层胶印偏了 内页剪裁也不齐

评分☆☆☆☆☆

所谓的反脆弱，就是不是脆弱性的就一定是喜欢变革的、拥抱变革的，所有的反脆弱能够发展起来，都是在混乱中成长。

类似图书 点击查看全场最低价