Fooled by Randomness[随机致富的傻瓜] 英文原版 [精装] pdf epub mobi txt 电子书 下载 2025

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb（纳西姆·尼古拉斯·塔勒布） 著

出版社： Random House

ISBN：9781400067930

商品编码：19042858

包装：精装

出版时间：2008-10-14

用纸：胶版纸

页数：368

正文语种：英文

商品尺寸：16.26x3.3x24.38cm;0.63kg

内容简介

Now in a striking new hardcover edition, Fooled by Randomness is the word-of-mouth sensation that will change the way you think about business and the world. Nassim Nicholas Taleb–veteran trader, renowned risk expert, polymathic scholar, erudite raconteur, and New York Times bestselling author of The Black Swan–has written a modern classic that turns on its head what we believe about luck and skill.

This book is about luck–or more precisely, about how we perceive and deal with luck in life and business. Set against the backdrop of the most conspicuous forum in which luck is mistaken for skill–the world of trading–Fooled by Randomness provides captivating insight into one of the least understood factors in all our lives. Writing in an entertaining narrative style, the author tackles major intellectual issues related to the underestimation of the influence of happenstance on our lives.

The book is populated with an array of characters, some of whom have grasped, in their own way, the significance of chance: the baseball legend Yogi Berra; the philosopher of knowledge Karl Popper; the ancient world’s wisest man, Solon; the modern financier George Soros; and the Greek voyager Odysseus. We also meet the fictional Nero, who seems to understand the role of randomness in his professional life but falls victim to his own superstitious foolishness.

However, the most recognizable character of all remains unnamed–the lucky fool who happens to be in the right place at the right time–he embodies the “survival of the least fit.” Such individuals attract devoted followers who believe in their guru’s insights and methods. But no one can replicate what is obtained by chance.

Are we capable of distinguishing the fortunate charlatan from the genuine visionary? Must we always try to uncover nonexistent messages in random events? It may be impossible to guard ourselves against the vagaries of the goddess Fortuna, but after reading Fooled by Randomness we can be a little better prepared.

作者简介

Nassim Nicholas Taleb is the author of The Black Swan. He has devoted his life to immersing himself in problems of luck, uncertainty, probability, and knowledge. Part literary essayist, part empiricist, part researcher, part no-nonsense businessman, he spent eighteen years as a mathematical trader, and was the Dean’s Professor in the Sciences of Uncertainty at the University of Massachusetts at Amherst. Taleb lives mostly in New York.

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这是一本好书

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好书

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这个还好，算不错，

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时间等待太久

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好。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。

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拿到书的时候，我只能先默默地把书上的灰擦拭掉，褶皱的外壳也尽量能展多平就展多平。除此之外一切都很完美。书的内容是非常好的，但也提醒准备买的朋友，在购买时最好咨询一下能否包装得稍微好一点。本来是不打算评论的，但今天收到某旧书网发来的书，足足包了三层，而且是非常用心的包装的，因为买的书在市场上没有新书可买，只能选择旧书。这是我第一次在旧书网买书，刚开始是没有报太大的期望书到时能完好无缺，但当真正收到时，我还是震惊了。京东一直以物流而闻名，我也是因为这个而非常喜欢在京东购物，却在这次的购书中一对比，确实有点不是很满意。

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这本书现在我已经买下了，现在我来给它写段评论吧！先从哪里说起呢？还是先从它的品相说起吧！也就是先从它的外表说起吧！这本书的品相还是很好的，绝对的是全品书。也就是说封面很平很新，没有折角，印刷精致美丽大方，当然就很漂亮啦。这本书事实上我还没有认真读，也只是粗略的翻了一下。从目录来看，这本书的选题还是很好的，还是很成功的，换句话说这本书的选题质量不是很坏，不是很失败。一个好的选题就保证了书的大半质量。这本书资料详实，论证扎实，考据精密，且符合学术史的主流趋势，是一本相当不错的书，读来可以让人受教很多。最难能可贵的是，它的选题非常地吸引我，因为我最近确实也在关注类似的选题，希望能在这本书中获得启发，并找到有用的东西。

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不错不错

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京东物流超级快，前一天晚上买，第二天就到了，而且这次活动力度很大，收的很多书都直接下手啦！第一本英文原版书，希望看完