The Black Swan 黑天鵝:如何應對不可預知的未來 英文原版 [平裝]

The Black Swan 黑天鵝:如何應對不可預知的未來 英文原版 [平裝] pdf epub mobi txt 電子書 下載 2025

Nassim Nicholas Taleb(納西姆·尼古拉斯·塔勒布) 著
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齣版社: Random House
ISBN:9780812973815
商品編碼:19016952
包裝:平裝
叢書名: Incerto
齣版時間:2010-05-11
用紙:膠版紙
頁數:480
正文語種:英文
商品尺寸:21.84x11.43x2.54cm

具體描述

編輯推薦

The Black Swan changed my view of how the world works.

內容簡介

A black swan is an event, positive or negative, that is deemed improbable yet causes massive consequences. In this groundbreaking and prophetic book, Taleb shows in a playful way that Black Swan events explain almost everything about our world, and yet we—especially the experts—are blind to them. In this second edition, Taleb has added a new essay, On Robustness and Fragility, which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world.

作者簡介

Nassim Nicholas Taleb has devoted his life to immersing himself in problems of luck, randomness, human error, probability, and the philosophy of knowledge. He managed to transform his interests into three successful careers, as a man of letters, businessman-trader-risk manager, and university professor. Although he spends most of his time as a flaneur, meditating in cafés across the planet, he is currently Distinguished Professor at New York University's Polytechnic Institute and Principal of Universa. His books Fooled by Randomness and The Black Swan have been published in 31 languages. He is widely recognized as the foremost thinker on probability and uncertainty. Taleb lives mostly in New York.

精彩書評

"Idiosyncratically brilliant."
——Niall Ferguson, Los Angeles Times

用戶評價

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在京東已經好多年,東西買的比較多,也比較雜,會員比較優惠。 此東東可以。好評。

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很好,這邊在下雨,京東專門包瞭層防水袋,很用心,八角尖尖!

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內容不用說瞭,粗略翻瞭很棒。得錶揚下京東快遞,不光送上樓,而且書很完美,邊角一點砸痕沒有,

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服務好

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發票不小心寫錯,第一時間聯係客服,但是沒有得到任何迴應,錯誤也沒有修改

評分

非常的滿意,下次還會來購買。

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這本書難得打摺,送貨快!

評分

發票不小心寫錯,第一時間聯係客服,但是沒有得到任何迴應,錯誤也沒有修改

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