The Black Swan 黑天鵝:如何應對不可預知的未來 英文原版 [平裝] 下載 mobi epub pdf 電子書 2025

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編輯推薦

The Black Swan changed my view of how the world works.

內容簡介

A black swan is an event, positive or negative, that is deemed improbable yet causes massive consequences. In this groundbreaking and prophetic book, Taleb shows in a playful way that Black Swan events explain almost everything about our world, and yet we—especially the experts—are blind to them. In this second edition, Taleb has added a new essay, On Robustness and Fragility, which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world.

作者簡介

Nassim Nicholas Taleb has devoted his life to immersing himself in problems of luck, randomness, human error, probability, and the philosophy of knowledge. He managed to transform his interests into three successful careers, as a man of letters, businessman-trader-risk manager, and university professor. Although he spends most of his time as a flaneur, meditating in cafés across the planet, he is currently Distinguished Professor at New York University's Polytechnic Institute and Principal of Universa. His books Fooled by Randomness and The Black Swan have been published in 31 languages. He is widely recognized as the foremost thinker on probability and uncertainty. Taleb lives mostly in New York.

精彩書評

"Idiosyncratically brilliant."
——Niall Ferguson, Los Angeles Times
The Black Swan 黑天鵝:如何應對不可預知的未來 英文原版 [平裝] 下載 mobi epub pdf txt 電子書 格式

評分☆☆☆☆☆

京東太過分瞭！下單的時候有貨，支付瞭就沒貨瞭！等瞭一個多月！這次差評

評分☆☆☆☆☆

好評好評好評好評好評好評好評好評好評好評好評好評好評好評好評好評

評分☆☆☆☆☆

非常值得一讀，當前經濟形勢錯綜復雜，這本書能夠帶來有益的思考。

評分☆☆☆☆☆

好書，值得一讀，深刻反思

評分☆☆☆☆☆

一本不錯的書，值得推薦，紙質好，正版！

評分☆☆☆☆☆

貨已收到，很滿意，是本好書啊！風險提示不能忘啊！

評分☆☆☆☆☆

看看這方麵的書籍對自己構造理想人生還是很有幫助的，雖然我們不一定都做的到。

評分☆☆☆☆☆

京東自營

評分☆☆☆☆☆

除瞭包裝一般外，其他都很好，書質量也不錯，比較滿意

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