The Black Swan 黑天鵝:如何應對不可預知的未來 英文原版 [平裝]

The Black Swan 黑天鵝:如何應對不可預知的未來 英文原版 [平裝] pdf epub mobi txt 電子書 下載 2025

Nassim Nicholas Taleb(納西姆·尼古拉斯·塔勒布) 著
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齣版社: Random House
ISBN:9780812973815
商品編碼:19016952
包裝:平裝
叢書名: Incerto
齣版時間:2010-05-11
用紙:膠版紙
頁數:480
正文語種:英文
商品尺寸:21.84x11.43x2.54cm

具體描述

編輯推薦

The Black Swan changed my view of how the world works.

內容簡介

A black swan is an event, positive or negative, that is deemed improbable yet causes massive consequences. In this groundbreaking and prophetic book, Taleb shows in a playful way that Black Swan events explain almost everything about our world, and yet we—especially the experts—are blind to them. In this second edition, Taleb has added a new essay, On Robustness and Fragility, which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world.

作者簡介

Nassim Nicholas Taleb has devoted his life to immersing himself in problems of luck, randomness, human error, probability, and the philosophy of knowledge. He managed to transform his interests into three successful careers, as a man of letters, businessman-trader-risk manager, and university professor. Although he spends most of his time as a flaneur, meditating in cafés across the planet, he is currently Distinguished Professor at New York University's Polytechnic Institute and Principal of Universa. His books Fooled by Randomness and The Black Swan have been published in 31 languages. He is widely recognized as the foremost thinker on probability and uncertainty. Taleb lives mostly in New York.

精彩書評

"Idiosyncratically brilliant."
——Niall Ferguson, Los Angeles Times

用戶評價

評分

非常值得一讀,當前經濟形勢錯綜復雜,這本書能夠帶來有益的思考。

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很好,很喜歡,價格也很閤適,認真讀一下吧

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應該不錯吧,買的書太多瞭還沒來得及看。

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推薦的書籍,值得一看一讀。

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在京東已經好多年,東西買的比較多,也比較雜,會員比較優惠。 此東東可以。好評。

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評分

書還挺不錯的,到貨也很快

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文章翻譯還行,和黑天鵝類似的理論,觀點值得細細研究,開拓眼界。

評分

混沌大學李善友教授2018年度大課推薦

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