Sebastian Mallaby's magisterial biography of Alan Greenspan, the product of over five years of research based on untrammeled access to his subject and his closest professional and personal intimates, brings into vivid focus the mysterious point where the government and the economy meet. To understand Greenspan's story is to see the economic and political landscape of the last 30 years--and the presidency from Reagan to George W. Bush--in a whole new light. As the most influential economic statesman of his age, Greenspan spent a lifetime grappling with a momentous shift: the transformation of finance from the fixed and regulated system of the post-war era to the free-for-all of the past quarter century. The story of Greenspan is also the story of the making of modern finance, for good and for ill.
Greenspan's life is a quintessential American success story: raised by a single mother in the Jewish émigré community of Washington Heights, he was a math prodigy who found a niche as a stats-crunching consultant. A master at explaining the economic weather to captains of industry, he translated that skill into advising Richard Nixon in his 1968 campaign. This led to a perch on the White House Council of Economic Advisers, and then to a dazzling array of business and government roles, from which the path to the Fed was relatively clear. A fire-breathing libertarian and disciple of Ayn Rand in his youth who once called the Fed's creation a historic mistake, Mallaby shows how Greenspan reinvented himself as a pragmatist once in power. In his analysis, and in his core mission of keeping inflation in check, he was a maestro indeed, and hailed as such. At his retirement in 2006, he was lauded as the age's necessary man, the veritable God in the machine, the global economy's avatar. His memoirs sold for record sums to publishers around the world.
But then came 2008. Mallaby's story lands with both feet on the great crash which did so much to damage Alan Greenspan's reputation. Mallaby argues that the conventional wisdom is off base: Greenspan wasn't a naïve ideologue who believed greater regulation was unnecessary. He had pressed for greater regulation of some key areas of finance over the years, and had gotten nowhere. To argue that he didn't know the risks in irrational markets is to miss the point. He knew more than almost anyone; the question is why he didn't act, and whether anyone else could or would have. A close reading of Greenspan's life provides fascinating answers to these questions, answers whose lessons we would do well to heed. Because perhaps Mallaby's greatest lesson is that economic statesmanship, like political statesmanship, is the art of the possible. The Man Who Knew is a searching reckoning with what exactly comprised the art, and the possible, in the career of Alan Greenspan.
不隻是一本個人傳記,而是記錄瞭美國自戰後聯儲角色轉換,經濟政策製定和包括從凱恩斯主義到貨幣學派上的曆程。雖然格老對貨幣和金融的寬鬆理念在08經濟危機後一直受人詬病,包括我也同意過分助長泡沫,但是作為讀者瞭解其為何會從自由市場主義者到積極參與國傢經濟乾預,作為經濟參與者知道任何政策必有其弊端和不可預測性,這個邏輯和思考本身遠比ex post的指責茲事體大。
評分##Greenspan is the man who knew, but he is not the man who knew everything. 最近看紐約客對昂山素季的報道也是這個感覺,最好不要把自己的理想主義投射到政治人物身上,一失望又大驚小怪,牆倒眾人推。
評分##好書。以一個人的成長、成熟、成敗,理解一個時代。當這個人足夠重要,他/她的個人特色也影響時代的走嚮及幅度。
評分##好書。以一個人的成長、成熟、成敗,理解一個時代。當這個人足夠重要,他/她的個人特色也影響時代的走嚮及幅度。
評分不隻是一本個人傳記,而是記錄瞭美國自戰後聯儲角色轉換,經濟政策製定和包括從凱恩斯主義到貨幣學派上的曆程。雖然格老對貨幣和金融的寬鬆理念在08經濟危機後一直受人詬病,包括我也同意過分助長泡沫,但是作為讀者瞭解其為何會從自由市場主義者到積極參與國傢經濟乾預,作為經濟參與者知道任何政策必有其弊端和不可預測性,這個邏輯和思考本身遠比ex post的指責茲事體大。
評分##讀瞭大半年終於看完瞭。格林斯潘從尼剋鬆政府開始活躍在美國財政金融界,美聯儲連任5次,影響力從80年代跨越到韆璽年代,在金融市場呼風喚雨,說他是美國最有權利的男人也不為過。這本書最有益的視角是可以讀到格林斯潘領導下的美聯儲在做每一個利率調控決策的背景及觸發因素。藉這些曆史的經驗,或許可以一探當下。後麵好幾大章肯定還要重復閱讀的。
評分不隻是一本個人傳記,而是記錄瞭美國自戰後聯儲角色轉換,經濟政策製定和包括從凱恩斯主義到貨幣學派上的曆程。雖然格老對貨幣和金融的寬鬆理念在08經濟危機後一直受人詬病,包括我也同意過分助長泡沫,但是作為讀者瞭解其為何會從自由市場主義者到積極參與國傢經濟乾預,作為經濟參與者知道任何政策必有其弊端和不可預測性,這個邏輯和思考本身遠比ex post的指責茲事體大。
評分##One of the most interesting and inspiring books I've ever read... It is not just about Alan Greenspan; it is about the history of modern monetary policy, about US politics and economy, and about the human nature. History may not repeat, but it is always retold.
評分##One of the most interesting and inspiring books I've ever read... It is not just about Alan Greenspan; it is about the history of modern monetary policy, about US politics and economy, and about the human nature. History may not repeat, but it is always retold.
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