Ray Dalio is the founder and cochairman of Bridgewater Associates, which, over the last forty years, has become the largest and best performing hedge fund in the world. Dalio has appeared on the Time 100 list of the most influential people in the world as well as the Bloomberg Markets list of the 50 most influential people. He is the author of Principles, Big Debt Crisis, and Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order. He lives with his family in Connecticut.
A few years ago, Ray Dalio noticed a confluence of political and economic conditions he hadn’t encountered before. They included huge debts and zero or near-zero interest rates that led to massive printing of money in the world’s three major reserve currencies; big political and social conflicts within countries, especially the US, due to the largest wealth, political, and values disparities in more than 100 years; and the rising of a world power (China) to challenge the existing world power (US) and the existing world order. The last time that this confluence occurred was between 1930 and 1945. This realization sent Dalio on a search for the repeating patterns and cause/effect relationships underlying all major changes in wealth and power over the last 500 years.
In this remarkable and timely addition to his Principles series, Dalio brings readers along for his study of the major empires—including the Dutch, the British, and the American—putting into perspective the “Big Cycle” that has driven the successes and failures of all the world’s major countries throughout history. He reveals the timeless and universal forces behind these shifts and uses them to look into the future, offering practical principles for positioning oneself for what’s ahead.
##副标题:《原则》作者新书,又对中国有话说 本文首发于微信公众号“花和尚的跑马地”—《[全球最大对冲基金创始人告诉你1400年的“大周期”]》 下面对于未来10年的预测里有让你困惑的吗? 1. 未来10年,世界上爆发大战的可能性是35% 2. 美国处于自身周期约70%的位置,在未来10...
评分##达里奥关于全球经济金融周期的研究成果——关于经济霸权的普世原则,由于时间跨度极长(全球500年、中国1400年)涉及的历史也浩如烟海,从欧洲大航海时代到2020年新冠疫情;达里奥将各主要经济体的综合国力表现用量化方式表达,进行了跨国别(16个主要国家和经济体)、长周期(...
评分 评分 评分 评分 评分 评分##meaningful work and meaningful relationship。醍醐灌顶
评分##历史的pattern如此显而易见,然而许多人像喂了100天的鸡一样看不见。大变局正在发生
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