Ray Dalio is the founder and cochairman of Bridgewater Associates, which, over the last forty years, has become the largest and best performing hedge fund in the world. Dalio has appeared on the Time 100 list of the most influential people in the world as well as the Bloomberg Markets list of the 50 most influential people. He is the author of Principles, Big Debt Crisis, and Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order. He lives with his family in Connecticut.
A few years ago, Ray Dalio noticed a confluence of political and economic conditions he hadn’t encountered before. They included huge debts and zero or near-zero interest rates that led to massive printing of money in the world’s three major reserve currencies; big political and social conflicts within countries, especially the US, due to the largest wealth, political, and values disparities in more than 100 years; and the rising of a world power (China) to challenge the existing world power (US) and the existing world order. The last time that this confluence occurred was between 1930 and 1945. This realization sent Dalio on a search for the repeating patterns and cause/effect relationships underlying all major changes in wealth and power over the last 500 years.
In this remarkable and timely addition to his Principles series, Dalio brings readers along for his study of the major empires—including the Dutch, the British, and the American—putting into perspective the “Big Cycle” that has driven the successes and failures of all the world’s major countries throughout history. He reveals the timeless and universal forces behind these shifts and uses them to look into the future, offering practical principles for positioning oneself for what’s ahead.
##不知是有意還是無意,本書的封麵已經在事實上透露瞭本書所討論的內核,即周期。經濟周期理論長期來看一直處於一個微妙的位置。迴望傳統的經濟周期理論,無論凱恩斯、希剋斯、熊彼特亦或康德拉季耶夫,每一個人都可謂一方巨擘。但是反過來在經濟實踐中,似乎又很少用到經濟周期...
評分 評分##大曆史角度寫的國傢和市場變遷,印象最深的有兩條:如果20世紀初投資美英中法俄日荷意法奧10個國傢的股債現金大類資産,其中7個國傢的投資會清零(有些還不止一次);作者篇尾預測中美未來十年軍事衝突的可能是35%。。。
評分 評分 評分##meaningful work and meaningful relationship。醍醐灌頂
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