具體描述
Ray Dalio is the founder and cochairman of Bridgewater Associates, which, over the last forty years, has become the largest and best performing hedge fund in the world. Dalio has appeared on the Time 100 list of the most influential people in the world as well as the Bloomberg Markets list of the 50 most influential people. He is the author of Principles, Big Debt Crisis, and Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order. He lives with his family in Connecticut.
A few years ago, Ray Dalio noticed a confluence of political and economic conditions he hadn’t encountered before. They included huge debts and zero or near-zero interest rates that led to massive printing of money in the world’s three major reserve currencies; big political and social conflicts within countries, especially the US, due to the largest wealth, political, and values disparities in more than 100 years; and the rising of a world power (China) to challenge the existing world power (US) and the existing world order. The last time that this confluence occurred was between 1930 and 1945. This realization sent Dalio on a search for the repeating patterns and cause/effect relationships underlying all major changes in wealth and power over the last 500 years.
In this remarkable and timely addition to his Principles series, Dalio brings readers along for his study of the major empires—including the Dutch, the British, and the American—putting into perspective the “Big Cycle” that has driven the successes and failures of all the world’s major countries throughout history. He reveals the timeless and universal forces behind these shifts and uses them to look into the future, offering practical principles for positioning oneself for what’s ahead.
用戶評價
##說三點讀後感吧，1達利歐這般大佬，談問題如此平實誠懇，沒有裝聰明或者神神秘秘，非常難得。2作者建立瞭一個挺豐富的分析框架，撿重點來說，最重要的就是三個周期，債務周期，內部政治周期（一係列指標，最主要是貧富差距），外部周期（和其他大國的相對實力消長），結論來說...
評分##時至今日，所有關於趨勢的論述都不能脫離曆史數據的演繹，在長周期內尋找錨點一直以來都是考證某種觀點的必然途徑，所有一切的發展都是有跡可循的，現在發生的某段進程都很可能是過去某段進程在不同階段的重復和體現，可能隻有細節不同而已。 為什麼要在長周期內探討很多問題的...
評分##債務周期視角下的世界秩序
評分 評分##不知是有意還是無意，本書的封麵已經在事實上透露瞭本書所討論的內核，即周期。經濟周期理論長期來看一直處於一個微妙的位置。迴望傳統的經濟周期理論，無論凱恩斯、希剋斯、熊彼特亦或康德拉季耶夫，每一個人都可謂一方巨擘。但是反過來在經濟實踐中，似乎又很少用到經濟周期...
評分 評分這是一本去年由同事推薦的書。本來不想在電腦上看網頁版，但是因為kindle版本遲遲不齣，最後I sucked it up and read the web version here: [https://www.principles.com/the-changing-world-order/] 總的來說，這是一本很值得一看的書，特彆是對於想瞭解currency system, his...
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