Fooled by Randomness[隨機緻富的傻瓜] 英文原版 [精裝] pdf epub mobi txt 電子書 下載 2025

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb（納西姆·尼古拉斯·塔勒布） 著

齣版社： Random House

ISBN：9781400067930

商品編碼：19042858

包裝：精裝

齣版時間：2008-10-14

用紙：膠版紙

頁數：368

正文語種：英文

商品尺寸：16.26x3.3x24.38cm;0.63kg

內容簡介

Now in a striking new hardcover edition, Fooled by Randomness is the word-of-mouth sensation that will change the way you think about business and the world. Nassim Nicholas Taleb–veteran trader, renowned risk expert, polymathic scholar, erudite raconteur, and New York Times bestselling author of The Black Swan–has written a modern classic that turns on its head what we believe about luck and skill.

This book is about luck–or more precisely, about how we perceive and deal with luck in life and business. Set against the backdrop of the most conspicuous forum in which luck is mistaken for skill–the world of trading–Fooled by Randomness provides captivating insight into one of the least understood factors in all our lives. Writing in an entertaining narrative style, the author tackles major intellectual issues related to the underestimation of the influence of happenstance on our lives.

The book is populated with an array of characters, some of whom have grasped, in their own way, the significance of chance: the baseball legend Yogi Berra; the philosopher of knowledge Karl Popper; the ancient world’s wisest man, Solon; the modern financier George Soros; and the Greek voyager Odysseus. We also meet the fictional Nero, who seems to understand the role of randomness in his professional life but falls victim to his own superstitious foolishness.

However, the most recognizable character of all remains unnamed–the lucky fool who happens to be in the right place at the right time–he embodies the “survival of the least fit.” Such individuals attract devoted followers who believe in their guru’s insights and methods. But no one can replicate what is obtained by chance.

Are we capable of distinguishing the fortunate charlatan from the genuine visionary? Must we always try to uncover nonexistent messages in random events? It may be impossible to guard ourselves against the vagaries of the goddess Fortuna, but after reading Fooled by Randomness we can be a little better prepared.

作者簡介

Nassim Nicholas Taleb is the author of The Black Swan. He has devoted his life to immersing himself in problems of luck, uncertainty, probability, and knowledge. Part literary essayist, part empiricist, part researcher, part no-nonsense businessman, he spent eighteen years as a mathematical trader, and was the Dean’s Professor in the Sciences of Uncertainty at the University of Massachusetts at Amherst. Taleb lives mostly in New York.

評分☆☆☆☆☆

等瞭很長時間纔到，貨還沒有開始看。

評分☆☆☆☆☆

曆時1個月20天，終於到我手上瞭，算是遲來的情人節禮物，字看著舒服，行間有足夠的間隔做筆記，這個月可以好好啃瞭。

評分☆☆☆☆☆

經過五十幾天的等待，書終於拿到瞭，但是有些小失望。首先是包裝不好，連塑封都沒有，書邊都捲瞭，書皮還有劃痕。能看齣漂洋過海，旅途顛簸！隻是不知道彆的海外購書是否也是如此！再有就是書的紙張一般。書的內容還沒有看就讓人不愉快！給五分是對京東的期望與鼓勵！

評分☆☆☆☆☆

時間等待太久

評分☆☆☆☆☆

終於收到啦。很好。好久沒讀外文書瞭。這次必須重新讀起來。

評分☆☆☆☆☆

書很不錯！正版！

評分☆☆☆☆☆

等瞭一個月啊，據說塔勒布的書要看原版，國內的翻譯水平不行

評分☆☆☆☆☆

裝幀很好，確實是精裝；

評分☆☆☆☆☆

曆史1個月13天，終於到手瞭 可能需要工具書來消化這本書瞭 不知道會看多長時間