具體描述
In his earlier bestsellers Guns, Germs and Steel and Collapse, Jared Diamond transformed our understanding of what makes civilizations rise and fall. Now, in the final book in this monumental trilogy, he reveals how successful nations recover from crisis through selective change — a coping mechanism more commonly associated with personal trauma.
In a dazzling comparative study, Diamond shows us how seven countries have survived defining upheavals in the recent past — from US Commodore Perry’s arrival in Japan to the Soviet invasion of Finland to Pinochet’s regime in Chile — through a process of painful self-appraisal and adaptation, and he identifies patterns in the way that these distinct nations recovered from calamity. Looking ahead to the future, he investigates whether the United States, and the world, are squandering their natural advantages, on a path towards political conflict and decline. Or can we still learn from the lessons of the past?
Adding a psychological dimension to the awe-inspiring grasp of history, geography, economics, and anthropology that marks all Diamond’s work, Upheaval reveals how both nations and individuals can become more resilient. The result is a book that is epic, urgent, and groundbreaking.
用戶評價
##危機處理的框架對於深度分析作用其實不是很大，更像一本專欄閤集。也許是期待太高吧。
評分##類比個人對危機應對，以此為框架看國傢的危機應對，聽起來有點民科但卻也確實帶來不少洞見。分析的例子中，有國內大傢較為熟悉的如日本明治維新、德國二戰後重建與兩德統一，也有至少我個人不熟悉的如芬蘭與蘇聯的鼕季戰爭、澳大利亞的身份認同危機、智利的軍政府政變等，還是很漲見識的。全書最後談當下美國所麵臨的危機也順便討論瞭與中國的衝突，可惜局限於美國視角隻能講一些老生常談的點，像貧富差距、左右黨爭之類，若是能站在中國的角度寫當下的危機應該會有意思得多吧。當今朝廷強調“底綫思維”，算是拋棄瞭幻想，做著最壞的打算最好的準備；按照書中框架衡量，這樣是否真能做到承擔責任，明確問題，準確評估自我，且保有足夠耐心，就隻能在多年後由曆史評述瞭。
評分##Diamond寫這本書的時候82歲瞭——他在書裏自己說的，他不說我還不知道，總以為他纔六十來歲，然後自己嚇瞭一跳，原來看Germs，guns and steel已經是十年前的事瞭。很顯然，82歲的Diamond寫這本書的時候，想著的是“要給地球留下點什麼”。這本書講不同國傢應對危機的方式，舉瞭七個不同程度上成功應對危機的例子，而最後兩章關於現代的日本和美國，則是結局還未見分曉。最後一部分，則從國傢擴展到整個人類所麵對的危機。我的感想：1）一直覺得Diamond太囉嗦，這本書居然並不讓我厭煩，大概每個國傢的故事都講得清楚，有新的知識點；2）具體故事比作者隆重推齣的應對危機12點要好看，12點不是不好，但沒有什麼讓人醍醐灌頂的新意。3）既然不覺得這本書囉嗦，我決定把之前沒看完的上一本再翻齣來。
評分##《劇變》
評分##Interesting angles and analogies in reviewing the 7 selected countries, although no dedicated chapter to China (as it’s not one of the seven) it’s inevitably everywhere... Pleased and relieved with his unbiased attitude condemning Japan’s irresponsibility of denying its crimes in WWII. BTW another book using The Great Wave off Kanagawa???? as cover.
評分##12 factors to overcome crisis, example of 7 countries. Outlook for the next crisis in japan, US and the world. Do key leaders change history?
評分##Interesting angles and analogies in reviewing the 7 selected countries, although no dedicated chapter to China (as it’s not one of the seven) it’s inevitably everywhere... Pleased and relieved with his unbiased attitude condemning Japan’s irresponsibility of denying its crimes in WWII. BTW another book using The Great Wave off Kanagawa???? as cover.
評分不愧是Jared Diamond，以獨到新穎的角度，用個人類比國傢以此更形象深刻地理解危機的概念和影響，並用12個與危機産生結果有關的因素構成的框架很全麵深入地剖析7個國傢和全世界遭遇的不同危機和相應應對措施，預示未來潛在的危機，提議更嚴謹詳細的量化研究和通過對曆史經驗的學習更好地應對危機，敘述通俗易懂詼諧幽默；第9章對美國的剖析中涉及到與中國的比較將兩國的優缺點都列舉齣來，國內若引進估計不會完整保留。
評分##Interesting angles and analogies in reviewing the 7 selected countries, although no dedicated chapter to China (as it’s not one of the seven) it’s inevitably everywhere... Pleased and relieved with his unbiased attitude condemning Japan’s irresponsibility of denying its crimes in WWII. BTW another book using The Great Wave off Kanagawa???? as cover.
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